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Tirol face Grazer AK in AUSTRIA: Bundesliga. Our statistical model analyzed head-to-head records, recent form and key metrics.
Our top pick for this match is BTS: Yes at odds of 1.62. Additional pick: W1 at odds of 2.30.
Predictions use recent historical data, home and away splits and head-to-head records. See the tables above for the complete breakdown.
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Register free| # | MP | W% | G | +/- | PTS | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid | 9 | 89% | 26:8 | +18 | 24 | 3.78 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 9 | 67% | 21:4 | +17 | 21 | 2.78 |
| 3 | LASK | 9 | 67% | 23:9 | +14 | 19 | 3.56 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 56% | 16:10 | +6 | 17 | 2.89 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 44% | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | 3.44 |
| 6 | Tirol | 9 | 33% | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | 2.89 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 9 | 33% | 15:19 | -4 | 11 | 3.78 |
| Player | A | G |
|---|---|---|
 Baden Frederiksen N. | 0 | 3 |
 Hofleitner A. | 0 | 3 |
 Olakigbe M. | 2 | 2 |
| Cvetko C. | 1 | 1 |
 Oberleitner Y. | 1 | 1 |
| Balic H. | 0 | 1 |
| Hinterseer L. | 0 | 1 |
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(include only BUN 5 matches of 5)
| Statistic | TIR | GAK |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| xG | 1.3 | 1 |
| xGA | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 16.2 |
| Shots on Target | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Shots Inside Box | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| Big Chances | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| # | MP | W% | G | +/- | PTS | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid | 9 | 89% | 26:8 | +18 | 24 | 3.78 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 9 | 67% | 21:4 | +17 | 21 | 2.78 |
| 3 | LASK | 9 | 67% | 23:9 | +14 | 19 | 3.56 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 56% | 16:10 | +6 | 17 | 2.89 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 44% | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | 3.44 |
| 6 | Tirol | 9 | 33% | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | 2.89 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 9 | 33% | 15:19 | -4 | 11 | 3.78 |
| Player | A | G |
|---|---|---|
| Baden Frederiksen N. | 0 | 3 |
| Hofleitner A. | 0 | 3 |
| Olakigbe M. | 2 | 2 |
| Cvetko C. | 1 | 1 |
| Oberleitner Y. | 1 | 1 |
| Balic H. | 0 | 1 |
| Hinterseer L. | 0 | 1 |
| No. | Player | Position | Apps | Rating | xG + xA/match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | — | 20 | 6.6 | 0.25 | ||
 | — | 10 | 6.2 | 0.06 | ||
 | GK | 10 | 6.3 | GP 0.02 | ||
 | — | 7 | 6.3 | 0.03 | ||
 | — | 20 | 6.3 | 0.20 | ||
 | — | 20 | 6.8 | 0.02 | ||
 | — | 10 | 6.9 | 0.08 | ||
 | — | 20 | 6.7 | 0.31 | ||
 | — | 20 | 6.2 | 0.10 |
| No. | Player | Position | Apps | Rating | xG + xA/match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | — | 14 | 6.2 | 0.04 | ||
 | — | 20 | 6.6 | 0.11 | ||
 | — | 20 | 6.6 | 0.18 | ||
 | — | 20 | 6.3 | 0.22 | ||
 | — | 14 | 6.5 | 0.06 | ||
 | — | 10 | 6.4 | 0.01 | ||
 | GK | 10 | — | GP — | ||
 | — | 18 | 6.6 | 0.20 | ||
 | — | 17 | 6.9 | 0.13 |
xG + xA per appearance · last 20 actual club appearances. Goalkeepers: GP = goals prevented per appearance.
Unavailable or doubtful players and their recent performance
Confirmed, likely and doubtful changes compared to the previous match.
Confirmed to start
Not in the starting XI
Confirmed to start
Not in the starting XI
Recent averages per appearance
Compare recent form, attack and defence stats
Results: 10/10 · xG: 10/10Oldest → latest
Results: 10/10 · xG: 10/10Oldest → latest
Known results and paired xG only. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
Last 10 matches · Latest first · score from team’s perspective
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG (team – opp.) | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BL |  Ried | 1 : 2 | 1.24 : 1.48 | L | |
| BL |  Hartberg | 2 : 2 | 1.47 : 0.71 | D | |
| BL |  Salzburg | 0 : 3 | 2.11 : 3.61 | L | |
| BL |  Sturm Graz | 1 : 1 | 0.87 : 2.32 | D | |
| BL |  BW Linz | 1 : 1 | 0.77 : 0.38 | D |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG (team – opp.) | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BL |  Sturm Graz | 1 : 6 | 0.59 : 3.59 | L | |
| BL |  Altach | 2 : 1 | 0.34 : 1.28 | W | |
| BL |  Ried | 0 : 1 | 1.23 : 1.76 | L | |
| BL |  SK Rapid | 0 : 8 | 0.77 : 5.49 | L | |
| BL |  LASK | 0 : 3 | 0.99 : 2.32 | L |
Key betting markets and team-specific insights
Recent frequency in each team’s separate home/away league history. These percentages are not probabilities or picks for this match.
Home win occurred in 7 of 10 recorded away league matches (70%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.
Tirol at home: -0.15 xG difference per match (10 records); Grazer AK away: -0.89 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.
Home win occurred in 3 of 10 recorded at home league matches (30%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.
Butler Q.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.
Guerti I., Meierhofer J., Owusu B.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.
11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Wels M.: 0.68 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 431 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals; Satin M.: 0.41 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 473 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; Striednig M.: 0.26 xG+xA/90 (8 appearances, 616 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.
4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Kubatta D.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 531 minutes); Boras M.: 0.22 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 805 minutes); Gugganig D.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 626 minutes); Oswald M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 621 minutes). Kubatta D.: 31/56 duels won (9 appearances); Boras M.: 51/78 duels won (9 appearances); Gugganig D.: 51/88 duels won (10 appearances); Oswald M.: 30/57 duels won (9 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.
Hamzic S.: 0.75 goals prevented/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes).
9/9 published substitutes have personal history. Butler Q.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.19 xG+xA/90 from 712 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.
11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Hofleitner A.: 0.36 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 730 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Anderson: 0.29 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 627 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Michorl P.: 0.25 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 803 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.
5/5 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Vraa L.: 0.14 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 642 minutes); Sollbauer M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 745 minutes); Oberleitner Y.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 712 minutes); Anderson: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 627 minutes); Klassen L.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 776 minutes). Vraa L.: 27/59 duels won (10 appearances); Sollbauer M.: 32/54 duels won (9 appearances); Oberleitner Y.: 73/102 duels won (9 appearances); Anderson: 32/74 duels won (9 appearances); Klassen L.: 39/76 duels won (9 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.
Stankovic C.: 0.02 goals prevented/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes).
9/9 published substitutes have personal history. Guerti I.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.41 xG+xA/90 from 236 minutes. Meierhofer J.: missing (Inactive); historical 0.00 xG+xA/90 from 810 minutes. Owusu B.: missing (Inactive); historical 0.06 xG+xA/90 from 803 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.
Tirol: 2.39 summed individual xG+xA/90; Grazer AK: 1.87. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.
Each metric has its own coverage. Missing data stays unknown.
(include only BUN 5 matches of 5)
| Statistic | TIR | GAK |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| xG | 1.3 | 1 |
| xGA | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 16.2 |
| Shots on Target | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Shots Inside Box | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| Big Chances | 2.4 | 1.2 |
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