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Frosinone face Lecce in ITALY: Serie A. Our statistical model analyzed head-to-head records, recent form and key metrics.
Our top pick for this match is O2.5 at odds of 1.36. Additional pick: BTS: Yes at odds of 1.40.
Predictions use recent historical data, home and away splits and head-to-head records. See the tables above for the complete breakdown.
| # | MP | W% | G | +/- | PTS | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 9 | 89% | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | 3.22 |
| 2 | Inter | 8 | 88% | 23:10 | +13 | 22 | 4.13 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 67% | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | 3.44 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 67% | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | 2.78 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 8 | 63% | 16:7 | +9 | 18 | 2.88 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 50% | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | 3.75 |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 50% | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | 2.38 |
in last 5 Lecce away games.in last 10 Lecce games.in last 9 Lecce games (ITALY: Serie A).in last 5 Lecce away games.Predictions are locked
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in last 5 Lecce away games.in last 10 Lecce games.in last 9 Lecce games (ITALY: Serie A).in last 5 Lecce away games.(include only SA 5 matches of 5)
| Statistic | FRO | LEC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.8 |
| xG | 1.76 | 1.36 |
| xGA | 2.52 | 1.57 |
| Shots | 22 | 13 |
| Shots on Target | 6.6 | 5.2 |
| Shots Inside Box | 13 | 9.8 |
| Big Chances | 2 | 2.8 |
| # | MP | W% | G | +/- | PTS | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 9 | 89% | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | 3.22 |
| 2 | Inter | 8 | 88% | 23:10 | +13 | 22 | 4.13 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 67% | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | 3.44 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 67% | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | 2.78 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 8 | 63% | 16:7 | +9 | 18 | 2.88 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 50% | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | 3.75 |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 50% | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | 2.38 |
Choose 2–4 players from these teams
Bench not published
Bench not published
xG + xA per appearance · last 20 actual club appearances. Goalkeepers: GP = goals prevented per appearance.
Unavailable or doubtful players and their recent performance
Confirmed, likely and doubtful changes compared to the previous match.
No changes recorded
Expected to start
Not expected to start
Status uncertain
Doubtful players are not included in the total.
Recent averages per appearance
Compare recent form, attack and defence stats
Results: 4/10 · xG: 4/10Oldest → latest
Results: 10/10 · xG: 10/10Oldest → latest
Known results and paired xG only. Green marks the stronger value. Fewer conceded is better.
Last 10 matches · Latest first · score from team’s perspective
Key betting markets and team-specific insights
Observed association in saved matches, not a match probability.
Based on the two separate team histories shown below.
Recent frequency in each team’s separate home/away league history. These percentages are not probabilities or picks for this match.
Frosinone: -0.58 · 4/10 · Lecce: -0.31 · 10/10
Average paired xG difference per match, from each team’s own home/away history.
Starts: 7/10 · Regular starter
In the group matching today’s starting status, “Home win” occurred 25.6 percentage points more often.
Same team, tournament and home/away setting · up to 30 matches in 365 days
Known starting XIs: 19/19
Small sample| Matches | Started | Did not start |
|---|---|---|
| Selected outcome | 4/9 | 7/10 |
| Goals for / match | 1 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / match | 1 | 1.4 |
| xG / match | 1.25 | 0.7 |
| xGA / match | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| Paired xG records | 9/9 | 10/10 |
| Sample period | Nov 2, 2025 — Oct 18, 2026 | Jan 14, 2026 — May 17, 2026 |
Starts: 6/10 · Regular starter
In the group matching today’s starting status, “Home win” occurred 23.8 percentage points more often.
Same team, tournament and home/away setting · up to 30 matches in 365 days
Known starting XIs: 19/19
Small sample| Matches | Started | Did not start |
|---|---|---|
| Selected outcome | 8/12 | 3/7 |
| Goals for / match | 0.75 | 1 |
| Goals against / match | 1.42 | 0.86 |
| xG / match | 0.82 | 1.19 |
| xGA / match | 1.99 | 1.65 |
| Paired xG records | 12/12 | 7/7 |
| Sample period | Jan 14, 2026 — Sep 20, 2026 | Nov 2, 2025 — Oct 18, 2026 |
No supported lineup argument against this outcome.
Previous match: Oct 25, 2026
The previous starting XI is retained
Last ten team fixtures: 10/10 · Aug 16, 2026 — Oct 25, 2026
No material changes identified in the available lineups.
Open match ↗Previous match: Oct 25, 2026
Last ten team fixtures: 10/10 · May 24, 2026 — Oct 25, 2026
Reported missing · Thigh Injury
Starts: 9/10 · Regular starter
Same team, tournament and home/away setting · up to 30 matches in 365 days
Known starting XIs: 19/19
At least five scored matches in each group are needed. This comparison does not enter the verdict.
| Matches | Started | Did not start |
|---|---|---|
| Selected outcome | 10/17 | 1/2 |
| Goals for / match | 0.88 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / match | 1.24 | 1 |
| xG / match | 0.99 | 0.65 |
| xGA / match | 1.87 | 1.81 |
| Paired xG records | 17/17 | 2/2 |
| Sample period | Nov 2, 2025 — Oct 18, 2026 | Jan 3, 2026 — Mar 22, 2026 |
Doubtful · Injury
Starts: 8/10 · Regular starter
Same team, tournament and home/away setting · up to 30 matches in 365 days
Known starting XIs: 19/19
At least five scored matches in each group are needed. This comparison does not enter the verdict.
| Matches | Started | Did not start |
|---|---|---|
| Selected outcome | 10/16 | 1/3 |
| Goals for / match | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| Goals against / match | 1.25 | 1 |
| xG / match | 0.91 | 1.19 |
| xGA / match | 1.93 | 1.52 |
| Paired xG records | 16/16 | 3/3 |
| Sample period | Nov 2, 2025 — Oct 18, 2026 | Apr 25, 2026 — Sep 20, 2026 |
Reported missing · Ankle Injury
Starts: 7/10 · Regular starter
Same team, tournament and home/away setting · up to 30 matches in 365 days
Known starting XIs: 19/19
At least five scored matches in each group are needed. This comparison does not enter the verdict.
| Matches | Started | Did not start |
|---|---|---|
| Selected outcome | 9/15 | 2/4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.73 | 1.25 |
| Goals against / match | 1.2 | 1.25 |
| xG / match | 0.85 | 1.37 |
| xGA / match | 1.88 | 1.8 |
| Paired xG records | 15/15 | 4/4 |
| Sample period | Dec 7, 2025 — Sep 20, 2026 | Nov 2, 2025 — Oct 18, 2026 |
Starting
Starts: 0/10
Scored matches: 8/10 · Overall form
Overall form used: home/away sample is short
Frosinone: -0.58 · 4/10 · Lecce: -0.31 · 10/10
Average paired xG difference per match, from each team’s own home/away history.
At least five paired xG matches per team are needed; no xG edge is inferred.
Each metric has its own coverage. Missing data stays unknown.
(include only SA 5 matches of 5)
| Statistic | FRO | LEC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.8 |
| xG | 1.76 | 1.36 |
| xGA | 2.52 | 1.57 |
| Shots | 22 | 13 |
| Shots on Target | 6.6 | 5.2 |
| Shots Inside Box | 13 | 9.8 |
| Big Chances | 2 | 2.8 |
Predictions are locked
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Register free| Player | A | G |
|---|---|---|
 Raimondo A. | 0 | 7 |
| Calo G. | 1 | 3 |
 Kvernadze G. | 1 | 3 |
 Schmid R. | 3 | 2 |
 Coulibaly L. | 1 | 2 |
 Tiago Gabriel | 1 | 2 |
| Bracaglia G. | 1 | 1 |
| Player | A | G |
|---|---|---|
| Raimondo A. | 0 | 7 |
| Calo G. | 1 | 3 |
| Kvernadze G. | 1 | 3 |
| Schmid R. | 3 | 2 |
| Coulibaly L. | 1 | 2 |
| Tiago Gabriel | 1 | 2 |
| Bracaglia G. | 1 | 1 |
