Tirol — Grazer

Home win occurred in 7 of 10 recorded away league matches (70%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Tirol at home: -0.15 xG difference per match (10 records); Grazer AK away: -0.89 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

Home win occurred in 3 of 10 recorded at home league matches (30%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Butler Q.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

Guerti I., Meierhofer J., Owusu B.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Wels M.: 0.68 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 431 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals; Satin M.: 0.41 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 473 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; Striednig M.: 0.26 xG+xA/90 (8 appearances, 616 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Kubatta D.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 531 minutes); Boras M.: 0.22 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 805 minutes); Gugganig D.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 626 minutes); Oswald M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 621 minutes). Kubatta D.: 31/56 duels won (9 appearances); Boras M.: 51/78 duels won (9 appearances); Gugganig D.: 51/88 duels won (10 appearances); Oswald M.: 30/57 duels won (9 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Hamzic S.: 0.75 goals prevented/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes).

9/9 published substitutes have personal history. Butler Q.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.19 xG+xA/90 from 712 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Hofleitner A.: 0.36 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 730 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Anderson: 0.29 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 627 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Michorl P.: 0.25 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 803 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

5/5 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Vraa L.: 0.14 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 642 minutes); Sollbauer M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 745 minutes); Oberleitner Y.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 712 minutes); Anderson: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 627 minutes); Klassen L.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 776 minutes). Vraa L.: 27/59 duels won (10 appearances); Sollbauer M.: 32/54 duels won (9 appearances); Oberleitner Y.: 73/102 duels won (9 appearances); Anderson: 32/74 duels won (9 appearances); Klassen L.: 39/76 duels won (9 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Stankovic C.: 0.02 goals prevented/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes).

9/9 published substitutes have personal history. Guerti I.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.41 xG+xA/90 from 236 minutes. Meierhofer J.: missing (Inactive); historical 0.00 xG+xA/90 from 810 minutes. Owusu B.: missing (Inactive); historical 0.06 xG+xA/90 from 803 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Tirol: 2.39 summed individual xG+xA/90; Grazer AK: 1.87. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.