Match Analysis
Prepared
The upcoming USA: WNBA clash between Connecticut Sun W and Atlanta Dream W brings a matchup our model has flagged on the betting market. The available recorded samples and listed odds are reviewed below. The match is scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM.
Here is our breakdown and top betting picks for this matchup. Check the live odds and full match stats on the Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W page.
Match Info
| Competition | USA: WNBA |
|---|---|
| Match | Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W |
| Kickoff | August 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM |
| Market | TOTAL |
| Selection | Total Under 174.5 |
| Odds | 1.855 |
Team Analysis & Recent Form
Connecticut Sun W
In 20 recent games at home, Connecticut Sun W went under 174.5 85% of the time. In 15 recent games at home, Connecticut Sun W went under 174.5 80% of the time. In 10 recent games at home, Connecticut Sun W went under 174.5 80% of the time.
Those numbers shape how Connecticut Sun W project in this game’s total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.
Atlanta Dream W
In 20 recent games away, Atlanta Dream W went under 174.5 70% of the time.
Those numbers shape how Atlanta Dream W project in this game’s total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.
Recorded Trend Samples
| Team | Split | Selection | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | Total Under 174.5 | 85% | 20 |
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | Total Under 174.5 | 80% | 10 |
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | Total Under 174.5 | 80% | 15 |
| Atlanta Dream W | ATL – Away | Total Under 174.5 | 70% | 20 |
Small-Market Trends & Prediction
Beyond the main market, the recorded samples for Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W also flag side-market trends â corners, cards, fouls and shots. These are historical statistical trends from past games, not guarantees.
Small-market prediction: Assists Under 42.5 at odds of 1.89. Its strongest recorded sample landed in 80% of 20 games.
| Team | Split | Selection | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun W | Overall | Assists Under 42.5 | 80% | 10 |
| Atlanta Dream W | ATL – Away | Assists Under 42.5 | 80% | 20 |
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | Assists Under 42.5 | 80% | 20 |
| Connecticut Sun W | Overall | Assists Under 42.5 | 75% | 20 |
| Connecticut Sun W | Overall | Assists Under 42.5 | 73% | 15 |
| Atlanta Dream W | ATL – Away | Assists Under 42.5 | 73% | 15 |
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | Assists Under 42.5 | 73% | 15 |
| Atlanta Dream W | ATL – Away | Assists Under 42.5 | 70% | 10 |
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | Assists Under 42.5 | 70% | 10 |
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | 2PT Under 47.5 | 80% | 10 |
| Atlanta Dream W | ATL – Away | 2PT Under 47.5 | 70% | 10 |
| Atlanta Dream W | ATL – Away | 2PT Under 47.5 | 70% | 20 |
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | 2PT Under 47.5 | 70% | 20 |
| Connecticut Sun W | CON – Home | 3PT Under 15.5 | 73% | 15 |
The Total Points Battle
Read together, the recent samples for Connecticut Sun W and Atlanta Dream W point in the same direction on the game total, with the strongest trend landing at 85%.
Historical rates frame the matchup but never guarantee the next result â the market line and price still decide whether a pick holds value. This preview uses only the recorded samples supplied for this fixture.
Odds and Historical Rate Comparison
| Selection | Odds | Implied probability | Best recorded hit rate | Historical gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Under 174.5 | 1.85 | 53.9% | 85.0% | +31.1 pp |
The historical gap compares the strongest supplied sample with the probability implied by the listed odds. It is not a model probability or a guarantee of value.
Best Basketball Betting Picks & Prediction
- Pick: Total Under 174.5 â odds 1.855
Why: Each selection is built on Connecticut Sun W and Atlanta Dream W’s recorded totals samples, led by a 85% hit rate. These are analytical opinions, not a promise of a result â always compare the listed odds with the current market before betting. No injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other unverified match context are assumed in this assessment.
Risk Assessment
Historical samples describe previous results and may not repeat in the next match. The listed odds can also change before kickoff. This assessment does not assume any injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other context that is not present in the supplied data.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best bet for Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W?
Our data-backed selection is Total Under 174.5 at listed odds of 1.855, an implied probability of 53.9%. It is the only tracked pick we flag for Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W.
How strong is the Total Under 174.5 trend for Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W?
Across 4 recorded samples, Total Under 174.5 landed in up to 85% of games at its strongest. Connecticut Sun W’s best matching split hit 85% and Atlanta Dream W’s reached 70%.
What are the odds for Total Under 174.5 in Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W?
Total Under 174.5 is priced at 1.855 (53.9% implied). The strongest recorded sample (85%) sits +31.1 percentage points above that implied line â a historical gap, not a guarantee of value.
What is the small-market prediction for Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W?
Our small-market prediction is Assists Under 42.5 at odds of 1.89, which cleared its line in up to 80% of matching games. This fixture has 4 side-market trends in total (corners, cards, fouls, shots) â see the table above. Historical rates only, not guarantees.
When does Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W start and what competition is it?
Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W is scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM in USA: WNBA.
Is Total Under 174.5 a safe bet for Connecticut Sun W vs Atlanta Dream W?
No bet is safe. These hit rates describe past results only and may not repeat, and the listed odds can move before kickoff. We assume no injuries, lineups, weather or motivation beyond the supplied data â always compare the live price and bet responsibly.
Disclaimer: Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
