Osnabruck — Greuther Fürth

Home win occurred in 2 of 8 recorded overall league matches (25%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

The home/away sample is too short, so the team's overall league form is shown instead.

Home win occurred in 5 of 10 recorded away league matches (50%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Dal M., Zank B.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

VfL Osnabruck home: 4/10 paired xG matches; Greuther Furth away: 10/10. No xG-based edge is inferred.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Kyereh D.: 0.98 xG+xA/90 (7 appearances, 185 minutes); scored in 1/7 appearances with recorded goals; Meissner R.: 0.70 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 776 minutes); scored in 5/10 appearances with recorded goals; Beck A.: 0.33 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 778 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

5/5 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Fabinski R.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes); Muller J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 808 minutes); Wiemann N.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes); Kammerbauer P.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 723 minutes); Jogo: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 835 minutes). Fabinski R.: 49/82 duels won (9 appearances); Muller J.: 35/69 duels won (9 appearances); Wiemann N.: 39/72 duels won (9 appearances); Kammerbauer P.: 24/54 duels won (9 appearances); Jogo: 37/72 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Krumrey J.: -0.04 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes).

9/9 published substitutes have personal history. No absences are reported in the saved source. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Klaus F.: 0.84 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 884 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Appelkamp S.: 0.26 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 787 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Pohlmann O.: 0.21 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 738 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Dehm J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 736 minutes); Heuer J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes); Blank H.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 372 minutes); Itter L.: 0.10 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 881 minutes). Dehm J.: 32/52 duels won (10 appearances); Heuer J.: 36/65 duels won (10 appearances); Blank H.: 23/38 duels won (10 appearances); Itter L.: 56/89 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Hellstern F.: -0.07 goals prevented/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes).

9/9 published substitutes have personal history. Dal M.: missing (Shoulder Injury); historical 1.17 xG+xA/90 from 15 minutes. Zank B.: missing (Injury); personal attacking data unavailable. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

VfL Osnabruck: 2.90 summed individual xG+xA/90; Greuther Furth: 2.00. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.