PSG — Lyon

Home win occurred in 6 of 10 recorded at home league matches (60%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

PSG at home: 1.91 xG difference per match (10 records); Lyon away: -0.55 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

Home win occurred in 4 of 10 recorded away league matches (40%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Dembele O., Kvaratskhelia K., Marquinhos, Mendes N. and 1 more. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Openda L., Ouedraogo M., Sulc P., Tagliafico N. and 1 more. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Torres F.: 0.91 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 589 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Doue D.: 0.90 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 589 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals; Hakimi A.: 0.51 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 742 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Hakimi A.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 742 minutes); Zabarnyi I.: 0.12 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 766 minutes); Pacho W.: 0.10 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 874 minutes); Hernandez L.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 572 minutes). Hakimi A.: 34/69 duels won (10 appearances); Zabarnyi I.: 29/43 duels won (10 appearances); Pacho W.: 33/61 duels won (10 appearances); Hernandez L.: 25/45 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Safonov M.: 0.03 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Dembele O.: missing (Thigh Injury); historical 1.47 xG+xA/90 from 473 minutes. Kvaratskhelia K.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.56 xG+xA/90 from 530 minutes. Marquinhos: missing (Thigh Injury); historical 0.20 xG+xA/90 from 884 minutes. Mendes N.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.34 xG+xA/90 from 758 minutes. Longoni A.: doubtful (Injury); personal attacking data unavailable. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Boudache K.: 0.65 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 411 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Nuamah E.: 0.51 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 676 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Tolisso C.: 0.36 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 704 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Athekame Z.: 0.12 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 777 minutes); Bacher F.: 0.25 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 731 minutes); Niakhate M.: 0.11 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 810 minutes); Abner Vinicius: 0.11 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 802 minutes). Athekame Z.: 43/76 duels won (10 appearances); Bacher F.: 28/51 duels won (10 appearances); Niakhate M.: 25/55 duels won (10 appearances); Abner Vinicius: 12/41 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Greif D.: 0.01 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Openda L.: missing (Leg Injury); historical 0.53 xG+xA/90 from 819 minutes. Ouedraogo M.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.25 xG+xA/90 from 576 minutes. Sulc P.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.57 xG+xA/90 from 476 minutes. Tagliafico N.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.09 xG+xA/90 from 584 minutes. Hamdani A.: doubtful (Inactive); historical 0.75 xG+xA/90 from 43 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

PSG: 3.98 summed individual xG+xA/90; Lyon: 2.58. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.