Newcastle Jets — Macarthur FC

Home win occurred in 6 of 10 recorded at home league matches (60%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Newcastle Jets at home: 0.46 xG difference per match (10 records); Macarthur FC away: -0.06 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

Home win occurred in 4 of 10 recorded away league matches (40%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Badolato A., Fryer O.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Bertoncello X.: 0.56 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 494 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; Lolley J.: 0.48 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 545 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Vergos N.: 0.39 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 380 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Bertolissio J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 930 minutes); Shaughnessy J.: 0.11 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 836 minutes); Aquilina T.: 0.59 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 459 minutes); Wilmering D.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 930 minutes). Bertolissio J.: 42/77 duels won (10 appearances); Shaughnessy J.: 30/57 duels won (10 appearances); Aquilina T.: 16/37 duels won (10 appearances); Wilmering D.: 49/84 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Delianov J.: -0.25 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 930 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Badolato A.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.63 xG+xA/90 from 809 minutes. Fryer O.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.33 xG+xA/90 from 202 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Gibson B.: 0.52 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 564 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals; Vickery L.: 0.39 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 549 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals; Bosnjak D.: 0.37 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 525 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Talbot C.: 0.10 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 896 minutes); Krslovic S.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (4 appearances, 384 minutes); Aspropotamitis J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (7 appearances, 567 minutes); Paull N.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 566 minutes). Talbot C.: 32/77 duels won (10 appearances); Krslovic S.: 14/23 duels won (4 appearances); Aspropotamitis J.: 25/43 duels won (7 appearances); Paull N.: 21/42 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Robinson A.: -0.12 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 917 minutes).

Bench unpublished. No absences are reported in the saved source. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Newcastle Jets: 2.53 summed individual xG+xA/90; Macarthur FC: 2.03. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.