Macarthur FC — Perth Glory

Macarthur FC at home: 0.04 xG difference per match (10 records); Perth Glory away: -0.82 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

Home win occurred in 4 of 10 recorded at home league matches (40%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Home win occurred in 4 of 10 recorded away league matches (40%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

O'Neill B., Ostler T.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Gibson B.: 0.58 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 500 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals; Stamatelopoulos A.: 0.52 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 775 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals; Vickery L.: 0.40 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 549 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Talbot C.: 0.10 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 889 minutes); Nara T.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 718 minutes); Aspropotamitis J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (6 appearances, 477 minutes); Paull N.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 566 minutes). Talbot C.: 29/74 duels won (10 appearances); Nara T.: 41/73 duels won (10 appearances); Aspropotamitis J.: 20/37 duels won (6 appearances); Paull N.: 28/50 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Robinson A.: -0.10 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 917 minutes).

6/7 published substitutes have personal history. No absences are reported in the saved source. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Kuzamba T.: 0.68 xG+xA/90 (1 appearances, 6 minutes); scored in 0/1 appearances with recorded goals; Deng C.: 0.53 xG+xA/90 (3 appearances, 274 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; Lawrence T.: 0.48 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 854 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Kuzamba T.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (1 appearances, 6 minutes); Deng C.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (3 appearances, 274 minutes); Jackson L.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 635 minutes); Lebib A.: 0.29 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 306 minutes). Kuzamba T.: 1/2 duels won (1 appearances); Deng C.: 27/37 duels won (3 appearances); Jackson L.: 43/59 duels won (10 appearances); Lebib A.: 24/41 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Sutton M.: -0.09 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 930 minutes).

6/7 published substitutes have personal history. O'Neill B.: missing (Injury); historical 0.14 xG+xA/90 from 201 minutes. Ostler T.: missing (Broken jawbone); historical 0.19 xG+xA/90 from 365 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Macarthur FC: 2.36 summed individual xG+xA/90; Perth Glory: 2.77. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.