Estrella Roja — Mladost

Home win occurred in 8 of 10 recorded at home league matches (80%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Crvena zvezda at home: 2.22 xG difference per match (10 records); Mladost away: -1.01 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

Home win occurred in 3 of 10 recorded away league matches (30%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

Avdic A.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Katai A.: 1.02 xG+xA/90 (6 appearances, 365 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals; Arnautovic M.: 0.76 xG+xA/90 (6 appearances, 182 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals; Balov K.: 0.71 xG+xA/90 (6 appearances, 197 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

3/3 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Tebo Uchenna F.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (6 appearances, 462 minutes); Veljkovic M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (6 appearances, 570 minutes); Strika M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (4 appearances, 213 minutes). Tebo Uchenna F.: 22/37 duels won (6 appearances); Veljkovic M.: 24/46 duels won (6 appearances); Strika M.: 11/21 duels won (4 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Radanovic S.: 0.33 goals prevented/90 (2 appearances, 151 minutes).

10/11 published substitutes have personal history. Avdic A.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.36 xG+xA/90 from 551 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Ciric J.: 0.38 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 545 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; Petrovic N.: 0.34 xG+xA/90 (2 appearances, 41 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals; Tasovski V.: 0.30 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 744 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

5/5 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Cvetkovic M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 714 minutes); Jovanovic V.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 855 minutes); Cirkovic N.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes); Joksimovic M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 760 minutes); Petrovic N.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (2 appearances, 41 minutes). Cvetkovic M.: 30/55 duels won (10 appearances); Jovanovic V.: 30/53 duels won (10 appearances); Cirkovic N.: 37/60 duels won (10 appearances); Joksimovic M.: 15/39 duels won (10 appearances); Petrovic N.: 1/1 duels won (2 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Samcovic Z.: -0.30 goals prevented/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes).

10/11 published substitutes have personal history. No absences are reported in the saved source. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

Crvena zvezda: 4.46 summed individual xG+xA/90; Mladost: 1.57. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.