Roma — Cagliari

Home win occurred in 7 of 10 recorded at home league matches (70%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

AS Roma at home: 0.80 xG difference per match (10 records); Cagliari away: -0.19 (10 records). Unadjusted historical team xG, not a match probability.

Home win occurred in 4 of 10 recorded away league matches (40%). This is historical frequency, not the chance of this fixture.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Bah M., Dybala P., Kone M., Pellegrini Lo. and 1 more. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

The starting XI has not been confirmed by the source.

Felici M., Idrissi R., Trepy Y., Winks H.. Their effect is not counted as a probability adjustment.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Malen D.: 1.02 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 718 minutes); scored in 5/10 appearances with recorded goals; Mora R.: 0.63 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 406 minutes); scored in 1/10 appearances with recorded goals; Soule M.: 0.58 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 644 minutes); scored in 3/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

5/5 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Mancini G.: 0.13 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 716 minutes); Ndicka E.: 0.24 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 764 minutes); Hermoso M.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 744 minutes); Molina N.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 556 minutes); Wesley Franca: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 761 minutes). Mancini G.: 31/65 duels won (10 appearances); Ndicka E.: 34/63 duels won (10 appearances); Hermoso M.: 36/60 duels won (10 appearances); Molina N.: 30/57 duels won (10 appearances); Wesley Franca: 44/82 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Gollini P.: -0.52 goals prevented/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Bah M.: missing (Knee Injury); personal attacking data unavailable. Dybala P.: missing (Calf Injury); historical 0.86 xG+xA/90 from 809 minutes. Kone M.: missing (Muscle Injury); historical 0.17 xG+xA/90 from 574 minutes. Pellegrini Lo.: missing (Thigh Injury); historical 0.44 xG+xA/90 from 556 minutes. Svilar M.: missing (Toe Injury); historical 0.00 xG+xA/90 from 900 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

11/11 listed starters have paired xG and xA. Maldini D.: 0.56 xG+xA/90 (9 appearances, 568 minutes); scored in 4/10 appearances with recorded goals; Mendy P.: 0.45 xG+xA/90 (10 appearances, 671 minutes); scored in 2/10 appearances with recorded goals; Fadera A.: 0.36 xG+xA/90 (8 appearances, 258 minutes); scored in 0/10 appearances with recorded goals. Individual historical rates describe these players; their sum is not expected team goals.

4/4 identified starting defenders have observed errors leading to shots. Pedro J.: 0.13 errors leading to shots/90 (9 appearances, 714 minutes); Mina Y.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 900 minutes); Rodriguez J.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 772 minutes); Obert A.: 0.00 errors leading to shots/90 (10 appearances, 846 minutes). Pedro J.: 20/50 duels won (9 appearances); Mina Y.: 53/79 duels won (10 appearances); Rodriguez J.: 38/72 duels won (10 appearances); Obert A.: 40/68 duels won (10 appearances). Missing defensive metrics are unknown, including when a player's position is unpublished.

Caprile E.: 0.34 goals prevented/90 (9 appearances, 810 minutes).

Bench unpublished. Felici M.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.21 xG+xA/90 from 319 minutes. Idrissi R.: missing (Knee Injury); historical 0.09 xG+xA/90 from 288 minutes. Trepy Y.: missing (Injury); historical 0.49 xG+xA/90 from 56 minutes. Winks H.: missing (Back Injury); historical 0.08 xG+xA/90 from 843 minutes. A specific replacement is not inferred from a shared position; replacement quality remains unconfirmed without a comparable profile.

AS Roma: 3.61 summed individual xG+xA/90; Cagliari: 2.05. Both published XIs have 11 observed profiles. These are descriptive player rates, unadjusted for past opponents and playing roles, not a match goal forecast.