Ukraine vs Greece Prediction, Pick and Odds (August 28, 2026)
The upcoming EUROPE: World Cup – Qualification – Second round clash between Ukraine and Greece brings a matchup our model has flagged on the betting market. The available recorded samples and listed odds are reviewed below. The match is scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM.
Here is our breakdown and top betting picks for this matchup. Check the live odds and full match stats on the Ukraine vs Greece page.
Match Info
| Competition | EUROPE: World Cup – Qualification – Second round |
|---|---|
| Match | Ukraine vs Greece |
| Kickoff | August 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM |
| Market | TOTAL |
| Selection | Total Under 160.5 |
| Odds | 1.88 |
Team Analysis & Recent Form
Ukraine
In 15 recent games at home, Ukraine went under 160.5 87% of the time. In 10 recent games at home, Ukraine went under 160.5 80% of the time. In 22 recent games at home, Ukraine went under 160.5 77% of the time.
Those numbers shape how Ukraine project in this game’s total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.
Greece
In 5 recent games, Greece went under 160.5 80% of the time. In 10 recent games, Greece went under 160.5 70% of the time. In 50 recent games, Greece went under 160.5 60% of the time.
Those numbers shape how Greece project in this game’s total, and they underpin the picks in the section below.
Recorded Trend Samples
| Team | Split | Selection | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | UKR – Home | Total Under 160.5 | 87% | 15 |
| Ukraine | UKR – Home | Total Under 160.5 | 80% | 10 |
| Greece | Overall | Total Under 160.5 | 80% | 5 |
| Ukraine | UKR – Home | Total Under 160.5 | 77% | 22 |
| Ukraine | UKR – Home | Total Under 160.5 | 75% | 20 |
| Greece | Overall | Total Under 160.5 | 70% | 10 |
| Ukraine | Overall | Total Under 160.5 | 62% | 50 |
| Greece | Overall | Total Under 160.5 | 60% | 50 |
Small-Market Trends & Prediction
Beyond the main market, the recorded samples for Ukraine vs Greece also flag side-market trends — corners, cards, fouls and shots. These are historical statistical trends from past games, not guarantees.
Small-market prediction: 2PT Under 37.5. Its strongest recorded sample landed in 80% of 10 games.
| Team | Split | Selection | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece | GRE – Away | 2PT Under 37.5 | 80% | 10 |
| Greece | Overall | 2PT Under 37.5 | 79% | 19 |
| Greece | Overall | 2PT Under 37.5 | 78% | 9 |
| Greece | GRE – Away | 2PT Under 37.5 | 73% | 15 |
| Greece | Overall | 2PT Under 37.5 | 71% | 14 |
| Ukraine | UKR – Home | 2PT Under 37.5 | 71% | 14 |
| Ukraine | UKR – Home | 2PT Under 37.5 | 70% | 10 |
| Greece | GRE – Away | Turnovers Under 27.5 | 80% | 10 |
| Greece | GRE – Away | Turnovers Under 27.5 | 73% | 15 |
The Total Points Battle
Read together, the recent samples for Ukraine and Greece point in the same direction on the game total, with the strongest trend landing at 87%.
Historical rates frame the matchup but never guarantee the next result — the market line and price still decide whether a pick holds value. This preview uses only the recorded samples supplied for this fixture.
Odds and Historical Rate Comparison
| Selection | Odds | Implied probability | Best recorded hit rate | Historical gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Under 160.5 | 1.88 | 53.2% | 87.0% | +33.8 pp |
The historical gap compares the strongest supplied sample with the probability implied by the listed odds. It is not a model probability or a guarantee of value.
Best Basketball Betting Picks & Prediction
- Pick: Total Under 160.5 — odds 1.88
Why: Each selection is built on Ukraine and Greece’s recorded totals samples, led by a 87% hit rate. These are analytical opinions, not a promise of a result — always compare the listed odds with the current market before betting. No injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other unverified match context are assumed in this assessment.
Risk Assessment
Historical samples describe previous results and may not repeat in the next match. The listed odds can also change before kickoff. This assessment does not assume any injuries, lineups, weather, motivation, or other context that is not present in the supplied data.
Disclaimer: Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Frequently Asked Questions
Our data-backed selection is Total Under 160.5 at listed odds of 1.88, an implied probability of 53.2%. It is the only tracked pick we flag for Ukraine vs Greece.
Across 8 recorded samples, Total Under 160.5 landed in up to 87% of games at its strongest. Ukraine’s best matching split hit 87% and Greece’s reached 80%.
Total Under 160.5 is priced at 1.88 (53.2% implied). The strongest recorded sample (87%) sits +33.8 percentage points above that implied line — a historical gap, not a guarantee of value.
Our small-market prediction is 2PT Under 37.5, which cleared its line in up to 80% of matching games. This fixture has 2 side-market trends in total (corners, cards, fouls, shots) — see the table above. Historical rates only, not guarantees.
Ukraine vs Greece is scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM in EUROPE: World Cup – Qualification – Second round.
No bet is safe. These hit rates describe past results only and may not repeat, and the listed odds can move before kickoff. We assume no injuries, lineups, weather or motivation beyond the supplied data — always compare the live price and bet responsibly.
